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Acerrana vs A.C.D. Nardo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Acerrana and A.C.D. Nardo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Acerrana
20%
Draws
80%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C.D. Nardo come out ahead of Acerrana on wins alone.
  • Model gives A.C.D. Nardo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 3 11
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.6 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Acerrana
4:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Acerrana
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 10 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C.D. Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Acerrana's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

A.C.D. Nardo has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: A.C.D. Nardo has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS A.C.D. Nardo
0.83 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
83% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)