Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acerrana vs A.C.D. Nardo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Acerrana and A.C.D. Nardo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Acerrana
6%
Draws
90%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C.D. Nardo come out ahead of Acerrana on wins alone.
  • Model gives A.C.D. Nardo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 3 12
Losses 24 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Acerrana
4:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Acerrana
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 10 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Acerrana's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

A.C.D. Nardo has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: A.C.D. Nardo has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS A.C.D. Nardo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
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A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)