Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acerrana vs Ferrandina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Mazzacano A.

AI Match Summary

Acerrana in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acerrana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Acerrana
15%
Draws
85%
Ferrandina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferrandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Acerrana haven't matched Ferrandina's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ferrandina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 16%
Ferrandina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana Ferrandina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.6 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Ferrandina
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Ferrandina vs Acerrana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acerrana Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzacano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ferrandina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 23 / 100
Ferrandina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana Ferrandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferrandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferrandina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Ferrandina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Acerrana found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS Ferrandina
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
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Ferrandina

(Away)
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5
Gravina
02 Apr
Citta di Fasano
2 : 0
Ferrandina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)