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Achilles 29 vs DVS '33 Ermelo Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019 Sportpark De Heikant, Groesbeek
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Match Events

7' Event
Roemeon B.
26' Event
Pilon O.
32' Event
Pilon O.

AI Match Summary

DVS '33 Ermelo in this Derde Divisie 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored DVS '33 Ermelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Achilles 29
30%
Draws
31%
DVS '33 Ermelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Achilles 29

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Achilles 29 haven't matched DVS '33 Ermelo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Achilles 29 Clean Sheet 17%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Achilles 29 DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 Derde Divisie
Achilles 29 vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:6
Sep 15, 2018 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Achilles 29
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Achilles 29 Compare

Top Goalscorer Loning T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

DVS '33 Ermelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Roemeon B.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Pilon O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achilles 29 31 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Achilles 29 DVS '33 Ermelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DVS '33 Ermelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Achilles 29 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Achilles 29 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS DVS '33 Ermelo
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Achilles 29

(Home)
20 Oct
Achilles 29
1 : 0
De Treffers
25 May
Achilles 29
1 : 3
ODIN '59
18 May
VV DOVO
3 : 3
Achilles 29
11 May
ASWH
4 : 1
Achilles 29
04 May
Achilles 29
1 : 1
Harkemase Boys
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DVS '33 Ermelo

(Away)
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)