Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019 Sportpark De Heikant

Harkemase Boys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Achilles 29 play Harkemase Boys in the Derde Divisie 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Achilles 29 averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.84 conceded. Harkemase Boys averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Achilles 29 won 0, Harkemase Boys won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 4, 2019 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Achilles 29 and 1.61 for Harkemase Boys. This points to a Harkemase Boys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Achilles 29

28%

Draws

49%

Harkemase Boys

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Achilles 29 picked up more points recently compared to Harkemase Boys.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.61 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Achilles 29 Clean Sheet 14%

Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Achilles 29	Harkemase Boys
Matches Played	31	41
Wins	6	18
Draws	8	11
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1.39	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.84	1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Derde Divisie

Achilles 29 vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Oct 6, 2018 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs Achilles 29

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

7:1

Aug 22, 2018 KNVB Beker

Achilles 29 vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Achilles 29 Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Harkemase Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Beimers B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achilles 29 24 / 100

Harkemase Boys 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Achilles 29 Harkemase Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Harkemase Boys or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Achilles 29 attacking → ← attacking Harkemase Boys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Achilles 29 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Harkemase Boys let in goals in 80% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Achilles 29 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Harkemase Boys lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 65

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Noordwijk	34	25	5	4	94:41	80
2	Quick Boys	34	22	6	6	84:40	72
3	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	21	5	8	102:47	68
4	HSV Hoek	34	19	7	8	82:55	64
5	Groningen U21	34	17	7	10	66:39	58
6	Harkemase Boys	34	17	6	11	68:59	57
7	ASWH	34	16	7	11	74:54	55
8	SteDoCo	34	17	4	13	65:56	55
9	ODIN '59	34	17	3	14	71:66	54
10	Lisse	34	16	3	15	62:64	51
11	VV DOVO	34	14	6	14	76:66	48
12	Ajax (Am)	34	12	5	17	52:61	41
13	ONS Sneek	34	12	3	19	57:58	39
14	VVOG	34	9	8	17	41:72	35
15	Eemdijk	34	9	2	23	51:87	29
16	SJC Noordwijk	34	8	2	24	50:105	26
17	De Dijk	34	4	7	23	49:111	19
18	Achilles 29	34	4	8	22	44:107	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jong Volendam	34	22	5	7	97:44	71
2	TEC	34	21	7	6	63:38	70
3	OFC Oostzaan	34	18	8	8	79:43	62
4	GOES	34	20	1	13	80:55	61
5	UNA	34	17	5	12	68:55	56
6	FC OSS '20	34	16	6	12	70:53	54
7	HV & CV Quick	34	15	5	14	67:66	50
8	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	13	8	13	59:57	47
9	Westlandia	34	14	4	16	59:73	46
10	Dongen	34	14	3	17	51:70	45
11	USV Hercules	34	12	8	14	55:63	44
12	HSC '21	34	14	2	18	51:73	44
13	Blauw Geel	34	12	7	15	62:65	43
14	EVV	34	11	9	14	39:43	41
15	JVC '31 Cuijk	34	12	3	19	43:77	39
16	OJC Rosmalen	34	10	5	19	49:61	35
17	KVV Quick 20	34	8	7	19	53:84	31
18	HBS Craeyenhout	34	7	7	20	37:62	28