Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2018/2019

VV Alkmaar W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Achilles 29 W play VV Alkmaar W in the Eredivisie Women 2018/2019. VV Alkmaar W are favorites here. Recently, Achilles 29 W averaged 0.87 goals scored and 4.63 conceded. VV Alkmaar W averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.56 conceded. In past meetings, Achilles 29 W won 0, VV Alkmaar W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2019 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Achilles 29 W and 0.86 for VV Alkmaar W. This points to a VV Alkmaar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Achilles 29 W

15%

Draws

67%

VV Alkmaar W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Achilles 29 W picked up more points recently compared to VV Alkmaar W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Achilles 29 W Clean Sheet 25%

VV Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Achilles 29 W	VV Alkmaar W
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	3	10
Draws	2	5
Losses	25	21
Goals Scored	0.87	1.19
Goals Conceded	4.63	2.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2019 Eredivisie Women

Achilles 29 W vs VV Alkmaar W

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

1:4

Mar 29, 2019 Eredivisie Women

VV Alkmaar W vs Achilles 29 W

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

5:2

Feb 15, 2019 Eredivisie Women

Achilles 29 W vs VV Alkmaar W

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:6

Nov 23, 2018 Eredivisie Women

Achilles 29 W vs VV Alkmaar W

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Sep 7, 2018 Eredivisie Women

VV Alkmaar W vs Achilles 29 W

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Achilles 29 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

VV Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenton C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Altelaar J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achilles 29 W 21 / 100

VV Alkmaar W 62 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Achilles 29 W VV Alkmaar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Alkmaar W Win (2)

Secondary Pick VV Alkmaar W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8%

1.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Achilles 29 W attacking → ← attacking VV Alkmaar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Achilles 29 W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

VV Alkmaar W let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Achilles 29 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

VV Alkmaar W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV W	16	13	1	2	54:11	40
2	Twente W	16	11	3	2	52:18	36
3	Ajax W	16	9	4	3	38:14	31
4	Den Haag W	16	9	1	6	42:23	28
5	PEC Zwolle W	16	6	2	8	34:34	20
6	VV Alkmaar W	16	6	2	8	24:40	20
7	Heerenveen W	16	5	4	7	34:36	19
8	SBV Excelsior W	16	2	1	13	14:44	7
9	Achilles 29 W	16	2	0	14	10:82	6