Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia U20 vs Figueirense U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concordia U20 play Figueirense U20 in the Catarinense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Concordia U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Figueirense U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Concordia U20 won 0, Figueirense U20 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Concordia U20 and 1.69 for Figueirense U20. This points to a Figueirense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Concordia U20
21%
Draws
51%
Figueirense U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Figueirense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Concordia U20 picked up more points recently compared to Figueirense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Concordia U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Figueirense U20 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia U20 Figueirense U20
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Catarinense U20
Figueirense U20 vs Concordia U20
4:0
Jul 8, 2025 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Figueirense U20
0:2
May 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Figueirense U20 vs Concordia U20
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia U20 28 / 100
Figueirense U20 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia U20 Figueirense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Figueirense U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Concordia U20 attacking → ← attacking Figueirense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia U20 scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Figueirense U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Concordia U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Figueirense U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 38
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barra FC U201283130:1427
2Avai U201174028:825
3Chapecoense-SC U201272324:1823
4Criciuma U201164119:622
5Figueirense U201245319:1417
6Nacao U201343626:2215
7Carlos Renaux U201242612:2314
8Concordia U201133511:1912
9Joinville U201213810:266
10Brusque U2014111214:434