Sport Picks

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Achilles Veen vs Smitshoek

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Silva Timas I.

AI Match Summary

Smitshoek in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Achilles Veen
15%
Draws
42%
Smitshoek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Achilles Veen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Achilles Veen lately — more wins on the board than Smitshoek.
  • Achilles Veen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Achilles Veen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Smitshoek, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Achilles Veen Clean Sheet 10%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Achilles Veen Smitshoek
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 13 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.81 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Derde Divisie
Achilles Veen vs Smitshoek
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Achilles Veen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Achilles Veen Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Smitshoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Timas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achilles Veen 65 / 100
Smitshoek 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Achilles Veen Smitshoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Achilles Veen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Smitshoek conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Achilles Veen scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Difficult form: Smitshoek registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Achilles Veen VS Smitshoek
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Achilles Veen

(Home)
22 Sept
VV Kloetinge
8 : 0
Achilles Veen
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1
Achilles Veen
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 0
Achilles Veen
01 Sept
Achilles Veen
4 : 2
SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 6

Smitshoek

(Away)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HBC 3
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Watergraafsmeer 5
Staphorst 4
Rohda Raalte 4
VV Hoogeveen 3
AZSV 1
Huizen 2
Smitshoek 3
AWC 1
Westlandia 0
Achilles Veen 5
Dongen 2
GVV Unitas 3
RKSV Halsteren 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
Final
HBC 4
Watergraafsmeer 1
Rohda Raalte 0
Huizen 1
Smitshoek 2
Achilles Veen 0
GVV Unitas 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3