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Achnas vs AEK Larnaca

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Ethnikos Achnas, Achna
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Luis Felipe
14'
Izquierdo J.
20'
Andereggen N.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League 2025/2026 game between Achnas and AEK Larnaca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Achnas
15%
Draws
49%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Achnas haven't matched AEK Larnaca's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Achnas Clean Sheet 16%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Achnas AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 18
Draws 1 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Cyprus League
Achnas vs AEK Larnaca
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Achnas
2:1
Jan 8, 2025 Cyprus League
Achnas vs AEK Larnaca
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Achnas
2:2
Dec 16, 2023 Cyprus League
Achnas vs AEK Larnaca
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Achnas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achnas 36 / 100
AEK Larnaca 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Achnas AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Achnas scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

AEK Larnaca has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Achnas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Achnas VS AEK Larnaca
2.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Achnas

(Home)
19 Sept
Achnas
3 : 0
Polemidion
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
15 May
Achnas
1 : 2
Omonia Aradippou
09 May
Paralimni
1 : 3
Achnas
01 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 0
Achnas
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 26 19 4 3 63:17 61
2 AEK Larnaca 26 16 5 5 49:22 53
3 Apollon Limassol 26 16 5 5 36:22 53
4 Pafos 26 16 3 7 53:24 51
5 APOEL 26 13 6 7 45:27 45
6 Aris Limassol 26 12 7 7 48:26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou 26 10 4 12 23:31 34
8 AEL Limassol 26 10 3 13 31:38 33
9 Anorthosis 26 7 11 8 23:33 32
10 Krasava 26 8 4 14 26:36 28
11 Ol. Nicosia 26 6 10 10 22:37 28
12 Akritas Chloraka 26 7 5 14 23:48 26
13 Achnas 26 7 2 17 25:44 23
14 Paralimni 26 0 1 25 5:67 1
Promotion - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)