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Stadium Background

ACR Messina vs Roccella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 Stadio San Filippo, Messina
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Samake B.
30' Event
Addessi S.
52' Event
Cretella C.

AI Match Summary

ACR Messina in this Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ACR Messina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
ACR Messina
35%
Draws
20%
Roccella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ACR Messina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Roccella haven't matched ACR Messina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ACR Messina a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 68%
Roccella Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACR Messina Roccella
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0.91 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Roccella
5:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs ACR Messina
0:1
Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs ACR Messina
3:1
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Roccella
1:0
Apr 18, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs ACR Messina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ACR Messina Compare

Top Goalscorer Foggia C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Addessi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Roccella Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACR Messina 95 / 100
Roccella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACR Messina Roccella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACR Messina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roccella has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: ACR Messina remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

ACR Messina's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ACR Messina VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ACR Messina

(Home)
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0
Milazzo
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1
ACR Messina
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
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Roccella

(Away)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)