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ACV Assen vs Purmersteijn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ACV Assen host Purmersteijn in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. ACV Assen have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Purmersteijn's 1.53 scored and 2.2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.38, favoring ACV Assen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
ACV Assen
15%
Draws
39%
Purmersteijn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Purmersteijn haven't matched ACV Assen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ACV Assen a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 17%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACV Assen Purmersteijn
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.14 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACV Assen 75 / 100
Purmersteijn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACV Assen Purmersteijn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ACV Assen scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Purmersteijn let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

ACV Assen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Purmersteijn registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ACV Assen VS Purmersteijn
3.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ACV Assen

(Home)
03 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 2
ACV Assen
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
ACV Assen
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
Page 1 of 6

Purmersteijn

(Away)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)