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ACV Assen vs SVZW Wierden Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between ACV Assen and SVZW Wierden finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ACV Assen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
ACV Assen
15%
Draws
0%
SVZW Wierden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • ACV Assen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ACV Assen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 20%
SVZW Wierden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACV Assen SVZW Wierden
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 14 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.45 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Derde Divisie
ACV Assen vs SVZW Wierden
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACV Assen 85 / 100
SVZW Wierden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACV Assen SVZW Wierden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ACV Assen scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: SVZW Wierden conceded in 93% of 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: ACV Assen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ACV Assen VS SVZW Wierden
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ACV Assen

(Home)
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
ACV Assen
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
Page 1 of 6

SVZW Wierden

(Away)
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0
SVZW Wierden
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2
SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
4 Lisse 7 5 1 1 12:6 16
5 GOES 7 4 2 1 16:13 14
6 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
7 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
8 RKSV UDI 19 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
9 Gemert 7 2 4 1 12:11 10
10 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
11 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
12 Blauw Geel 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
13 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
14 UNA 7 1 4 2 11:12 7
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)