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AD Alcala vs Flat Earth FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between AD Alcala and Flat Earth FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AD Alcala
28%
Draws
22%
Flat Earth FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flat Earth FC come out ahead of AD Alcala on wins alone.
  • AD Alcala are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Flat Earth FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Alcala Flat Earth FC
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Flat Earth FC vs AD Alcala
1:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Flat Earth FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Alcala 59 / 100
Flat Earth FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Alcala Flat Earth FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Alcala scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

AD Alcala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Flat Earth FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Alcala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Adarve22135441:1744
2Moratalaz22117436:2040
3Rayo Vallecano B22108435:2738
4Pozuelo de Alarcon22115633:2038
5Flat Earth FC2296719:1833
6AD Torrejon22711432:1732
7AD Alcala2286822:2230
8RSD Alcala22610620:1628
9Paracuellos Antamira2268818:2726
10Villanueva del Pardillo CF22541314:2819
11San Fernando de Henares22461218:3618
12Santa Ana22241611:5110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leganes B20155034:1250
2CD Mostoles20135228:1144
3Alcorcon B2097432:1534
4Parla2077620:2028
5Carabanchel2059618:2024
6Atletico Pinto20731020:3024
7Trival Valderas2058715:2123
8Villaverde San Andres20631118:2921
9El Alamo20371024:3316
10Mostoles CF20361115:2615
11Real Aranjuez20361119:3215