Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Alcala vs Moratalaz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Alcala in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AD Alcala
20%
Draws
30%
Moratalaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moratalaz lately — more wins on the board than AD Alcala.
  • Model gives AD Alcala a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Alcala Moratalaz
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.82 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Moratalaz
2:0
Feb 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs AD Alcala
1:0
Mar 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs AD Alcala
2:0
Nov 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Moratalaz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Alcala 59 / 100
Moratalaz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Alcala Moratalaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: AD Alcala scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AD Alcala remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Alcala VS Moratalaz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Alcala

(Home)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
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Moratalaz

(Away)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)