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AD Alcala vs Parla

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Alcala in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
AD Alcala
30%
Draws
12%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Alcala haven't matched Parla's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on AD Alcala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Alcala Parla
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Parla
2:1
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs AD Alcala
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Alcala 95 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Alcala Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

AD Alcala found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: AD Alcala remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parla
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Alcala

(Home)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)