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AD Astro vs Jequie

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Astro in this Baiano 2 2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Astro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
AD Astro
30%
Draws
62%
Jequie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jequie lately — more wins on the board than AD Astro.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Jequie taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AD Astro Clean Sheet 19%
Jequie Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Astro Jequie
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2013 Baiano 2
Jequie vs AD Astro
0:0
May 5, 2013 Baiano 2
AD Astro vs Jequie
2:1
Jun 10, 2012 Baiano 2
AD Astro vs Jequie
4:0
May 12, 2012 Baiano 2
Jequie vs AD Astro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Astro 10 / 100
Jequie 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Astro Jequie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jequie has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

AD Astro scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

AD Astro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jequie
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Astro

(Home)
29 Jun
Itabuna
3 : 0
AD Astro
16 Jun
AD Astro
1 : 2
Colo Colo
08 Jun
Jequie
0 : 0
AD Astro
25 May
AD Astro
1 : 4
CE Flamengo
18 May
AD Astro
0 : 1
Itabuna
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Jequie

(Away)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Ypiranga 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
2 Botafogo BA 8 4 3 1 15:7 15
3 Galicia 8 3 4 1 15:9 13
4 Ipitanga 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
5 Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas 8 0 3 5 4:16 3
Promotion - Baiano 2 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 8 6 2 0 11:4 20
2 Jacuipense 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
3 AD Astro 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
4 Jequie 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
5 Guanambi AC 8 0 0 8 0:8 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2012 (Play Offs)