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AD Astro vs Leonico

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2007 game between AD Astro and Leonico finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Astro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AD Astro
15%
Draws
73%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • AD Astro have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Leonico are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Leonico's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AD Astro Clean Sheet 20%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Astro Leonico
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2007 Baiano 2
Leonico vs AD Astro
1:6
Jul 29, 2007 Baiano 2
AD Astro vs Leonico
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Astro 12 / 100
Leonico 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Astro Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leonico conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Leonico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: AD Astro scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leonico
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Astro

(Home)
29 Jun
Itabuna
3 : 0
AD Astro
16 Jun
AD Astro
1 : 2
Colo Colo
08 Jun
Jequie
0 : 0
AD Astro
25 May
AD Astro
1 : 4
CE Flamengo
18 May
AD Astro
0 : 1
Itabuna
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Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feirense 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Galicia 10 7 0 3 23:11 21
3 Guanambi AC 10 7 0 3 16:13 21
4 Camacariense 10 3 2 5 9:17 11
5 AD Astro 10 2 1 7 13:15 7
6 Leonico 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2007 (Play Offs)