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AD Astro vs Serrano

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2009 game between AD Astro and Serrano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Astro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
AD Astro
20%
Draws
64%
Serrano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serrano come out ahead of AD Astro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AD Astro Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Astro Serrano
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2009 Baiano 2
AD Astro vs Serrano
1:0
May 24, 2009 Baiano 2
Serrano vs AD Astro
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Astro 32 / 100
Serrano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Astro Serrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Serrano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

AD Astro's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Serrano
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Astro

(Home)
29 Jun
Itabuna
3 : 0
AD Astro
16 Jun
AD Astro
1 : 2
Colo Colo
08 Jun
Jequie
0 : 0
AD Astro
25 May
AD Astro
1 : 4
CE Flamengo
18 May
AD Astro
0 : 1
Itabuna
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Serrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Camacariense 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
2 Juazeirense 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
3 Galicia 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Juazeiro 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guanambi AC 6 4 1 1 9:7 13
2 Bahia de Feira 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 Serrano 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 AD Astro 6 1 1 4 2:8 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2009 (Play Offs)