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AD Astro W vs Bahia W

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Baiano Women 2022
AD Astro W Logo

AD Astro W

2 - 5
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Bahia W Logo

Bahia W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bahia W in this Baiano Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
AD Astro W
15%
Draws
36%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Astro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Astro W haven't matched Bahia W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AD Astro W a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AD Astro W Clean Sheet 19%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Astro W Bahia W
Matches Played 17 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 0 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.88 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2023 Baiano Women
AD Astro W vs Bahia W
0:3
Sep 28, 2022 Baiano Women
AD Astro W vs Bahia W
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Astro W 85 / 100
Bahia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Astro W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Astro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Astro W scored in 88% of their last 17 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Bahia W let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: AD Astro W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bahia W
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Astro W

(Home)
16 Sept
Vitoria W
1 : 0
AD Astro W
10 Sept
AD Astro W
2 : 1
Vitoria W
02 Sept
AD Astro W
3 : 0
Jacuipense W
26 Aug
Alagoinhas W
1 : 2
AD Astro W
23 Aug
AD Astro W
7 : 0
Redencao W
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Bahia W

(Away)
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 6 1 0 36:4 19
2 Doce Mel W 7 5 1 1 25:7 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 31:11 15
4 Vitoria W 7 5 0 2 23:8 15
5 Juventude Conquista W 7 3 0 4 11:9 9
6 Jacuipense W 7 2 0 5 6:16 6
7 Lusaca W 7 1 0 6 5:25 3
8 Leonico W 7 0 0 7 2:59 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2022 (Play Offs)