Sport Picks
AD Boquinhense vs Riachao
Brazil
Sergipano 3 
AI Match Summary
AD Boquinhense host Riachao in the Sergipano 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Riachao have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while AD Boquinhense have conceded 1.86 and scored 0.79. Head-to-head, AD Boquinhense have won 1 to Riachao's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.38) back Riachao to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Riachao carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans AD Boquinhense's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Boquinhense | Riachao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 14 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Riachao conceded in 71% of 14 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: AD Boquinhense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Riachao has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AD Boquinhense
(Home)Riachao
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Socorro | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Propria | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Socorrense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz SE | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Coritiba SE | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:20 | 3 |
| 7 | Aracaju FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:21 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estanciano EC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Sete de Junho | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 3 | CS Maruinense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Botafogo ASF | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Amadense | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 7 | Riachao | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | 2 |
