Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Cantolao vs Union Comercio

Peru Peru

Liga 2
AD Cantolao Logo

AD Cantolao

0 - 1
FT
Union Comercio Logo

Union Comercio

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Vargas D. In: Mimbela W.
Out: Vargas D.
37' Event
Navea L.
39'
Mimbela W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Comercio in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Comercio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
AD Cantolao
35%
Draws
40%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Union Comercio have won more games recently than AD Cantolao.
  • Model gives Union Comercio a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Union Comercio here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 12%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cantolao Union Comercio
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.06 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs AD Cantolao
4:0
Apr 26, 2026 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs Union Comercio
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs AD Cantolao
1:0
May 4, 2025 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs Union Comercio
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Liga 1
Union Comercio vs AD Cantolao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cantolao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Union Comercio Compare

Top Goalscorer Navea L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cantolao 10 / 100
Union Comercio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cantolao Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Cantolao scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: AD Cantolao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Union Comercio let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Cantolao VS Union Comercio
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cantolao

(Home)
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0
AD Cantolao
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Union Comercio

(Away)
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 15 8 5 2 16:5 29
2 Carlos Mannucci 15 8 3 4 19:12 27
3 Llacuabamba 15 7 4 4 20:10 25
4 Pirata 15 6 4 5 22:20 22
5 U. San Martin 14 5 3 6 20:17 18
6 ADA Jaen 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
7 Cesar Vallejo 14 4 4 6 11:13 16
8 AD Cantolao 15 2 5 8 16:30 11
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 16 8 5 3 22:13 29
2 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 4 5 22:13 25
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 5 6 5 18:18 21
6 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
7 Ayacucho 16 5 4 7 19:21 19
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)