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AD Cartaya vs AD Ceuta B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Contreras M.
85'
Ensebaev M.

AI Match Summary

AD Cartaya in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Cartaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AD Cartaya
15%
Draws
49%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Ceuta B lately — more wins on the board than AD Cartaya.
  • Model gives AD Ceuta B a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cartaya AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs AD Ceuta B
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs AD Cartaya
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs AD Cartaya
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs AD Ceuta B
0:0
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs AD Cartaya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cartaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

AD Ceuta B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cartaya 28 / 100
AD Ceuta B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cartaya AD Ceuta B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Away concern: AD Ceuta B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: AD Cartaya scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Ceuta B
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cartaya

(Home)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta B

(Away)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)