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AD Cartaya vs CD Rota

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2022/2023 game between AD Cartaya and CD Rota finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Cartaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
AD Cartaya
15%
Draws
0%
CD Rota
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Cartaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Cartaya come out ahead of CD Rota on wins alone.
  • Model gives AD Cartaya a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AD Cartaya have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 68%
CD Rota Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cartaya CD Rota
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.94 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs CD Rota
2:0
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Rota vs AD Cartaya
1:0
Jan 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs CD Rota
4:1
Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Rota vs AD Cartaya
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cartaya 50 / 100
CD Rota 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cartaya CD Rota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Cartaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Rota has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: CD Rota registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AD Cartaya scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Cartaya VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cartaya

(Home)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
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CD Rota

(Away)
23 Apr
Ayamonte
3 : 0
CD Rota
16 Apr
CD Rota
1 : 2
Sevilla C
01 Apr
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
CD Rota
26 Mar
CD Rota
0 : 3
Inter Sevilla
19 Mar
Pozoblanco
2 : 0
CD Rota
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antoniano 30 17 9 4 47:24 60
2 Cordoba B 30 15 13 2 44:19 58
3 Inter Sevilla 30 15 9 6 48:25 54
4 Sevilla C 30 14 7 9 35:26 49
5 Puente Genil 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
6 Ciudad de Lucena 30 13 8 9 32:23 47
7 Xerez CD 30 10 11 9 36:29 41
8 Atletico Espeleno 30 11 7 12 40:40 40
9 Conil 30 10 10 10 32:31 40
10 Pozoblanco 30 11 7 12 29:37 40
11 AD Ceuta B 30 11 6 13 25:29 39
12 Bollullos 30 10 6 14 31:43 36
13 Ayamonte 30 9 6 15 31:43 33
14 AD Cartaya 30 6 11 13 30:46 29
15 Coria C.F. 30 6 6 18 26:40 24
16 CD Rota 30 5 4 21 15:53 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2022/2023 (Play Offs)