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Stadium Background

AD Cartaya vs CD Utrera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Fernandez Marquez A.
60' Event
Alonso M.
83'
Novoa D.

AI Match Summary

CD Utrera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Utrera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
AD Cartaya
15%
Draws
68%
CD Utrera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • CD Utrera have won more games recently than AD Cartaya.
  • Win probability leans CD Utrera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 21%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cartaya CD Utrera
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs CD Utrera
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Cartaya
2:0
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs CD Utrera
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Cartaya
2:1
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Cartaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cartaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CD Utrera Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Marquez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alonso M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cartaya 10 / 100
CD Utrera 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cartaya CD Utrera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Utrera conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

AD Cartaya found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: AD Cartaya stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Utrera
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cartaya

(Home)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
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CD Utrera

(Away)
20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2
CD Utrera
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)