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AD Ceuta B vs CD Utrera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Naranjo M.
29' Event
Naranjo M.
34' Event
Sabate F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AD Ceuta B
20%
Draws
42%
CD Utrera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Utrera lately — more wins on the board than AD Ceuta B.
  • Model gives AD Ceuta B a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 16%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B CD Utrera
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs CD Utrera
5:2
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs CD Utrera
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Ceuta B
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Ceuta B
4:3
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs CD Utrera
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Naranjo M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CD Utrera Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 41 / 100
CD Utrera 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B CD Utrera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta B scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

CD Utrera let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: AD Ceuta B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS CD Utrera
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
31 Oct
Cadiz B
0 : 0
AD Ceuta B
24 Oct
AD Ceuta B
5 : 2
CD Utrera
17 Oct
Pozoblanco
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
10 Oct
AD Ceuta B
3 : 0
Conil
03 Oct
Dos Hermanas
5 : 0
AD Ceuta B
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CD Utrera

(Away)
01 Nov
CD Utrera
1 : 2
Portuense
24 Oct
AD Ceuta B
5 : 2
CD Utrera
11 Oct
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
04 Oct
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Cadiz B
27 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 1
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Portuense 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
3 San Roque de Lepe 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
4 Tomares UD 9 5 2 2 10:7 17
5 Xerez Deportivo FC 9 5 2 2 13:11 17
6 CD Utrera 8 5 0 3 11:12 15
7 Betis C 9 4 2 3 19:15 14
8 Pozoblanco 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
9 AD Ceuta B 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
10 Egabrense 9 3 2 4 15:15 11
11 Conil 9 3 2 4 6:11 11
12 Linense 9 2 3 4 11:13 9
13 Chiclana 9 2 3 4 10:14 9
14 Cadiz B 9 1 5 3 5:6 8
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
16 Sevilla C 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
17 Bollullos 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
18 Cordoba B 8 0 4 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)