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AD Ceuta B vs Egabrense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Capilla
80' Event
Mas D.
Own Goal
82' Event
Bonilla A.

AI Match Summary

Egabrense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Egabrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AD Ceuta B
22%
Draws
54%
Egabrense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Egabrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Ceuta B lately — more wins on the board than Egabrense.
  • Model gives Egabrense a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 20%
Egabrense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Egabrense
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 9 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 0.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Egabrense
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodluck E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Egabrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Capilla
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonilla A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 10 / 100
Egabrense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Egabrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egabrense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

AD Ceuta B scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Egabrense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

AD Ceuta B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Egabrense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.2
50% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6

Egabrense

(Away)
27 Sept
Sevilla C
0 : 0
Egabrense
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
Egabrense
4 : 2
Cordoba B

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis C 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Dos Hermanas 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
3 Portuense 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
4 CD Utrera 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
5 Egabrense 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Chiclana 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Tomares UD 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 Pozoblanco 4 2 0 2 5:3 6
9 Linense 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Cadiz B 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
12 San Roque de Lepe 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Sevilla C 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 AD Ceuta B 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
16 Conil 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Bollullos 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
18 Cordoba B 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)