Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Ceuta B vs Tomares UD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Gordillo J.
90'
Marcos A.
90'
Marcos A.

AI Match Summary

Tomares UD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomares UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
AD Ceuta B
15%
Draws
53%
Tomares UD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomares UD lately — more wins on the board than AD Ceuta B.
  • Tomares UD are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 14%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Tomares UD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Tomares UD
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs AD Ceuta B
0:2
Jan 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Tomares UD
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs AD Ceuta B
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Tomares UD
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordillo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 23 / 100
Tomares UD 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Tomares UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomares UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta B scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tomares UD conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AD Ceuta B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Tomares UD
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
10 Oct
AD Ceuta B
3 : 0
Conil
03 Oct
Dos Hermanas
5 : 0
AD Ceuta B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
Page 1 of 6

Tomares UD

(Away)
10 Oct
Sevilla C
1 : 2
Tomares UD
04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1
Portuense
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
20 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 0
Cordoba B
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Tomares UD 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
6 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
7 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Chiclana 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 AD Ceuta B 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
12 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
13 Conil 6 2 0 4 4:10 6
14 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
15 Bollullos 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
16 Sevilla C 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
17 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)