Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
AD Ceuta in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Ceuta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Ceuta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to AD Ceuta lately — more wins on the board than Arcos CF.
- AD Ceuta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors AD Ceuta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 20%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta | Arcos CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Arcos CF
2:0
Dec 6, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs AD Ceuta
0:1
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Arcos CF
5:1
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs AD Ceuta
0:0
Dec 19, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs AD Ceuta
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta 49 / 100
Arcos CF 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta Arcos CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Ceuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Ceuta found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Arcos CF conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Arcos CF's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta
(Home) 26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 AD Ceuta
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26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1 Malaga
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Arcos CF
(Away) 26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1 Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2 Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1 Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1 Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1 La Palma CF
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28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2 Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1 Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1 Arcos CF
23 May
Sevilla C
1 : 1 Arcos CF
20 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 0 Arcos CF
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26:11 | 37 |
| 2 | Xerez CD | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 23:11 | 35 |
| 3 | AD Ceuta | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Los Barrios | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 5 | CD Rota | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 6 | Antoniano | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 15:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Conil | 18 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 19:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Cabecense | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:23 | 19 |
| 9 | Arcos CF | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:19 | 17 |
| 10 | Lebrijana | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15:25 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Roque de Lepe | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 30:18 | 45 |
| 2 | Ciudad de Lucena | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 35:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Puente Genil | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Cordoba B | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31:25 | 30 |
| 5 | CD Utrera | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 26:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Pozoblanco | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Sevilla C | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 8 | Inter Sevilla | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Castilleja CF | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 10 | Coria C.F. | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14:28 | 15 |
| 11 | La Palma CF | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 14:27 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
