Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Ceuta vs Celta Vigo B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Olmedo A.
42'
Gonzalez J.
42'
Camacho A.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 game between AD Ceuta and Celta Vigo B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celta Vigo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AD Ceuta
20%
Draws
40%
Celta Vigo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celta Vigo B come out ahead of AD Ceuta on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Celta Vigo B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celta Vigo B here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 11%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta Celta Vigo B
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Celta Vigo B
0:2
May 20, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs AD Ceuta
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
AD Ceuta vs Celta Vigo B
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Capdevila A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Somuah B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta 10 / 100
Celta Vigo B 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Celta Vigo B conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Celta Vigo B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta VS Celta Vigo B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta

(Home)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

Celta Vigo B

(Away)
26 Sept
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Sabadell
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 Eibar 7 6 0 1 15:6 18
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 11:4 15
4 Burgos CF 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Leganes 7 3 2 2 6:7 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Gijon 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
17 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
18 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
19 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 10:16 6
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)