Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 game between AD Ceuta and CMD San Juan finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CMD San Juan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- AD Ceuta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CMD San Juan's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 20%
CMD San Juan Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta | CMD San Juan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 44 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs AD Ceuta
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs CMD San Juan
1:1
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs CMD San Juan
2:2
Nov 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs AD Ceuta
0:0
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs AD Ceuta
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta 10 / 100
CMD San Juan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta CMD San Juan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CMD San Juan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CMD San Juan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta scored in 73% of their last 44 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
CMD San Juan lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta
(Home) 11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 AD Ceuta
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1 AD Ceuta
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05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1 Malaga
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0 Albacete
16 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 4 Malaga
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CMD San Juan
(Away) 15 May
Lebrijana
2 : 1 CMD San Juan
08 May
CMD San Juan
3 : 2 Los Barrios
01 May
Conil
1 : 2 CMD San Juan
24 Apr
CMD San Juan
3 : 0 San Roque de Cadiz
10 Apr
CMD San Juan
2 : 0 AD Ceuta
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15 May
Lebrijana
2 : 1 CMD San Juan
01 May
Conil
1 : 2 CMD San Juan
03 Apr
Cordoba B
2 : 0 CMD San Juan
24 Mar
CD Gerena
2 : 1 CMD San Juan
13 Mar
Sanluqueno
3 : 0 CMD San Juan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeciras | 42 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 77:28 | 100 |
| 2 | CD San Fernando | 42 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 88:28 | 91 |
| 3 | CD Gerena | 42 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 89:38 | 87 |
| 4 | Sanluqueno | 42 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 74:40 | 83 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 50:32 | 72 |
| 6 | Lebrijana | 42 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 60:66 | 60 |
| 7 | Conil | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 51:60 | 60 |
| 8 | Sevilla C | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 42:45 | 58 |
| 9 | Ecija | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 49:41 | 58 |
| 10 | CD Alcala | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 40:52 | 57 |
| 11 | Coria C.F. | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 48:42 | 57 |
| 12 | San Roque de Cadiz | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 47:49 | 56 |
| 13 | CMD San Juan | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 48:49 | 52 |
| 14 | Los Barrios | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 45:50 | 52 |
| 15 | CD Guadalcacin | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 39:48 | 52 |
| 16 | Cabecense | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 36:54 | 49 |
| 17 | Arcos CF | 42 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 46:74 | 48 |
| 18 | Mairena | 42 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 42:55 | 44 |
| 19 | PD Rociera | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 40:73 | 40 |
| 20 | Cadiz B | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 45:54 | 38 |
| 21 | La Palma CF | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 35:69 | 36 |
| 22 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 42 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 34:78 | 33 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
