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AD Ceuta vs Gijon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta host Gijon in the LaLiga2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: AD Ceuta at 1.11 goals for, 1.74 against; Gijon at 1.54 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, AD Ceuta have won 1 to Gijon's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.38, favoring Gijon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AD Ceuta
20%
Draws
56%
Gijon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Ceuta haven't matched Gijon's recent run of results.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 17%
Gijon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta Gijon
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 LaLiga2
Gijon vs AD Ceuta
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Gijon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta 36 / 100
Gijon 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta Gijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Gijon conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: AD Ceuta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta VS Gijon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta

(Home)
18 Oct
AD Ceuta
1 : 2
Real Oviedo
10 Oct
AD Ceuta
1 : 2
Sabadell
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6

Gijon

(Away)
17 Oct
Gijon
2 : 1
Albacete
11 Oct
Cadiz
0 : 1
Gijon
04 Oct
Gijon
3 : 2
Celta Vigo B
27 Sept
Real Oviedo
2 : 0
Gijon
19 Sept
FC Andorra
1 : 3
Gijon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almeria 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
2 Castellon 10 7 2 1 18:4 23
3 Eibar 10 7 1 2 20:11 22
4 Gijon 10 6 1 3 11:9 19
5 Girona 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
6 Mallorca 10 5 3 2 12:5 18
7 Granada CF 10 5 2 3 16:13 17
8 Burgos CF 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
9 Real Oviedo 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
10 Sabadell 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
11 Eldense 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
12 Tenerife 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
13 Valladolid 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
14 Celta Vigo B 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
15 Cordoba 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
16 Las Palmas 10 3 2 5 13:19 11
17 Leganes 10 3 2 5 6:15 11
18 FC Andorra 10 3 1 6 13:17 10
19 Real Sociedad B 10 2 2 6 14:21 8
20 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 11:13 7
21 AD Ceuta 10 1 2 7 9:22 5
22 Albacete 10 0 1 9 6:22 1
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