Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Colmenar vs DUX Internacional de Madrid

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Colmenar play DUX Internacional de Madrid in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015. AD Colmenar are favorites here. Recently, AD Colmenar averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. DUX Internacional de Madrid averaged 2 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, AD Colmenar won 1, DUX Internacional de Madrid won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 8, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for AD Colmenar and 1.05 for DUX Internacional de Madrid. This points to a AD Colmenar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AD Colmenar
25%
Draws
15%
DUX Internacional de Madrid
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: AD Colmenar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Colmenar picked up more points recently compared to DUX Internacional de Madrid.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 22%
DUX Internacional de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Colmenar DUX Internacional de Madrid
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 15 0
Goals Scored 1.33 2
Goals Conceded 1.77 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs DUX Internacional de Madrid
0:1
Nov 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
DUX Internacional de Madrid vs AD Colmenar
3:0
Apr 5, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs DUX Internacional de Madrid
2:1
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
DUX Internacional de Madrid vs AD Colmenar
1:1
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
DUX Internacional de Madrid vs AD Colmenar
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Colmenar 58 / 100
DUX Internacional de Madrid 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Colmenar DUX Internacional de Madrid

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Colmenar Win (1)
Secondary Pick AD Colmenar & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AD Colmenar attacking → ← attacking DUX Internacional de Madrid

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Colmenar scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

DUX Internacional de Madrid let in goals in 0% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AD Colmenar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

DUX Internacional de Madrid lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 6
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rayo Majadahonda38218967:3871
2Navalcarnero3818101043:3764
3Mexico381713859:3964
4Union Adarve381712940:3163
5Alcorcon B381712957:4163
6San Sebastian Reyes381881247:3262
7DUX Internacional de Madrid3816121048:4260
8RSD Alcala381317841:2956
9Real Madrid C381671550:4055
10Pozuelo de Alarcon381661646:4554
11Parla3814111347:3953
12Atletico Pinto381571644:4252
13Atl. Madrid C381471753:6649
14Puerta Bonita3812111542:4447
15CD Mostoles3811131444:4646
16San Fernando de Henares389171235:4244
17Siello3810131537:5143
18Alcobendas387151635:4936
19AD Colmenar381052335:6535
20AD Torrejon38623022:7420