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AD Fafe vs Maria de Fonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
87' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AD Fafe and Maria de Fonte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AD Fafe
20%
Draws
23%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Fafe come out ahead of Maria de Fonte on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on AD Fafe taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 20%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.44 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
AD Fafe vs Maria de Fonte
2:0
May 23, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs Maria de Fonte
0:1
May 2, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs AD Fafe
1:1
Jan 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs Maria de Fonte
1:0
Aug 18, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs AD Fafe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 85 / 100
Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe Maria de Fonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

AD Fafe found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

AD Fafe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS Maria de Fonte
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
11 Oct
AD Fafe
2 : 2
Trofense
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
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Maria de Fonte

(Away)
11 Oct
Maia Lidador
1 : 1
Maria de Fonte
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
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