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AD Fafe vs Mondinense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021 game between AD Fafe and Mondinense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
AD Fafe
15%
Draws
0%
Mondinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AD Fafe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AD Fafe here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%
Mondinense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe Mondinense
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 18 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.55 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Fafe vs Mondinense
3:2
Nov 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Mondinense vs AD Fafe
1:2
Apr 8, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs Mondinense
2:0
Dec 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Mondinense vs AD Fafe
1:2
Nov 29, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Mondinense vs AD Fafe
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 95 / 100
Mondinense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe Mondinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondinense let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Mondinense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

AD Fafe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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Mondinense

(Away)
10 Sept
Mondinense
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
11 Sept
FC Felgueiras
5 : 2
Mondinense
10 Apr
Mondinense
2 : 4
Vitoria Guimaraes B
03 Apr
Sao Martinho
5 : 1
Mondinense
14 Mar
Rio Ave B
5 : 0
Mondinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pevidem 18 9 7 2 27:16 34
2 AD Fafe 18 10 4 4 25:17 34
3 Vitoria Guimaraes B 18 8 8 2 33:14 32
4 FC Felgueiras 18 8 7 3 26:17 31
5 Sao Martinho 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
6 Berco 18 7 5 6 30:27 26
7 Rio Ave B 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Tirsense 18 6 3 9 21:29 21
9 Brito 18 3 5 10 20:31 14
10 Mondinense 18 0 1 17 11:46 1
11 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Aves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)