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AD Fafe vs Padroense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Fafe Logo

AD Fafe

2 - 1
FT
Padroense Logo

Padroense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Fafe in this Second Division - Zona Norte matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AD Fafe
20%
Draws
23%
Padroense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Fafe have won more games recently than Padroense.
  • Model gives AD Fafe a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 20%
Padroense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe Padroense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.48 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs AD Fafe
2:2
Dec 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Fafe vs Padroense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 85 / 100
Padroense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe Padroense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padroense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: AD Fafe scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: AD Fafe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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Padroense

(Away)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)