Sport Picks
AD Fafe vs Vitoria Guimaraes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe 
Match Events
7'
7'
Teixeira L.
8'
8'
Rocha R.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Rodrigo Silva
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Fafe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- AD Fafe have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes B.
- Win probability leans AD Fafe's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Fafe | Vitoria Guimaraes B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs AD Fafe
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs AD Fafe
2:6
Feb 11, 2023 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Fafe Compare
Top Goalscorer Teixeira L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Fafe 95 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Fafe Vitoria Guimaraes B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Fafe scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes B conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: AD Fafe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AD Fafe VS Vitoria Guimaraes B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Fafe
(Home) 20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0 Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3 AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0 Lajense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
09 Aug
AD Fafe
0 : 0 SC Vianense
31 Jul
AD Fafe
2 : 0 Maria de Fonte
28 Apr
AD Fafe
1 : 2 Sao Joao de Ver
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Vitoria Guimaraes B
(Away) 12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
25 Jul
Chaves
2 : 3 Vitoria Guimaraes B
09 May
Trofense
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 8 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
