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AD Fundacion Logrones vs Naxara

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Tercera Division - Group 16 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2008/2009 game between AD Fundacion Logrones and Naxara finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naxara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
AD Fundacion Logrones
20%
Draws
70%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naxara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Naxara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Naxara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Naxara here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AD Fundacion Logrones Clean Sheet 20%
Naxara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fundacion Logrones Naxara
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.6 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs AD Fundacion Logrones
7:0
Oct 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
AD Fundacion Logrones vs Naxara
1:3
Apr 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs AD Fundacion Logrones
6:0
Nov 24, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
AD Fundacion Logrones vs Naxara
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fundacion Logrones 10 / 100
Naxara 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fundacion Logrones Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naxara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Naxara has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

AD Fundacion Logrones found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: AD Fundacion Logrones remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naxara
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fundacion Logrones

(Home)
17 May
Oyonesa
2 : 0
AD Fundacion Logrones
10 May
AD Fundacion Logrones
0 : 2
Villegas
03 May
Haro Deportivo
5 : 0
AD Fundacion Logrones
25 Apr
AD Fundacion Logrones
1 : 1
AF Calahorra
18 Apr
CD Tedeon
3 : 0
AD Fundacion Logrones
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Naxara

(Away)
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 37 30 6 1 104:23 96
2 Haro Deportivo 37 25 9 3 87:22 84
3 Anguiano 37 25 8 4 108:42 83
4 CD Calahorra 37 25 5 7 81:34 80
5 River Ebro 37 22 7 8 67:34 73
6 Naxara 37 20 12 5 63:26 72
7 Oyonesa 37 22 5 10 72:30 71
8 San Marcial 37 18 9 10 60:47 63
9 Agoncillo 37 12 10 15 46:65 46
10 Calasancio 37 11 7 19 52:65 40
11 Berceo 37 10 9 18 38:60 39
12 AF Calahorra 37 9 11 17 29:48 38
13 Villegas 37 9 11 17 44:75 38
14 Arnedo 37 9 8 20 44:80 35
15 Yague 37 9 7 21 40:63 34
16 CCD Alberite 37 8 6 23 37:70 30
17 Cenicero 37 4 8 25 39:92 20
18 CD Tedeon 37 4 5 28 28:100 17
19 AD Fundacion Logrones 37 3 7 27 22:99 16
20 CD Logrones 19 8 6 5 27:13 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)