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Tupy FC vs Gremio Anapolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Dos Santos Guerra T. M.
58' Event
Marcao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tupy FC
30%
Draws
31%
Gremio Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tupy FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupy FC lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Anapolis.
  • Tupy FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy FC Gremio Anapolis
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 14 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Gremio Anapolis
1:1
Aug 12, 2026 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Tupy FC
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Gremio Anapolis
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Tupy FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gremio Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos Guerra T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy FC 36 / 100
Gremio Anapolis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy FC Gremio Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Anapolis let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tupy FC scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Tupy FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupy FC VS Gremio Anapolis
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Trindade
2 : 3
Tupy FC
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
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Gremio Anapolis

(Away)
07 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
4 : 0
Goiania
03 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 2
Rio Verde
27 Sept
Trindade
2 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Tupy FC 18 5 7 6 18:19 22
7 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 18 2 6 10 15:28 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)