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AD Limianos vs Forjaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between AD Limianos and Forjaes finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AD Limianos
20%
Draws
23%
Forjaes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Limianos come out ahead of Forjaes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AD Limianos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AD Limianos have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 18%
Forjaes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Limianos Forjaes
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 16 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.65 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Forjaes
2:0
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs AD Limianos
1:1
Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Forjaes
5:2
Oct 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs AD Limianos
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Limianos 85 / 100
Forjaes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Limianos Forjaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forjaes has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

AD Limianos scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Recent resilience: AD Limianos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Limianos VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Limianos

(Home)
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
18 Apr
SC Vianense
4 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

Forjaes

(Away)
08 May
Forjaes
0 : 3
SC Vianense
01 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Forjaes
24 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 4
Forjaes
10 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
Forjaes
03 Apr
Forjaes
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)