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AD Limianos vs Machico

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Gomes W.
35' Event
Marques J.
(Penalty)
75' Event
Carvalho D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between AD Limianos and Machico finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AD Limianos
30%
Draws
27%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Machico haven't matched AD Limianos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AD Limianos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%
Machico Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Limianos Machico
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Machico
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs AD Limianos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Machico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Limianos 95 / 100
Machico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Limianos Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Limianos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AD Limianos found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Machico conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AD Limianos VS Machico
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Limianos

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
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Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)