Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Limianos play Sao Martinho in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, AD Limianos averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Sao Martinho averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, AD Limianos won 1, Sao Martinho won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for AD Limianos and 1.13 for Sao Martinho. This points to a AD Limianos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

AD Limianos

33%

Draws

28%

Sao Martinho

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

AD Limianos picked up more points recently compared to Sao Martinho.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

AD Limianos Clean Sheet 21%

Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Limianos	Sao Martinho
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	9	4
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	1.33	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

AD Limianos vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Aug 10, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho vs AD Limianos

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho vs AD Limianos

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

AD Limianos vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Apr 9, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho vs AD Limianos

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Sao Martinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera Estrada A. F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Amorim D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Limianos 39 / 100

Sao Martinho 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Limianos Sao Martinho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AD Limianos or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AD Limianos attacking → ← attacking Sao Martinho

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Limianos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sao Martinho let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

AD Limianos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao Martinho lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 34

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GD Braganca	26	14	6	6	41:29	48
2	SC Vianense	26	14	6	6	49:28	48
3	Brito	26	14	4	8	36:24	46
4	Celoricense	26	11	9	6	35:23	42
5	AD Limianos	26	11	8	7	35:32	41
6	Tirsense	26	9	13	4	31:22	40
7	Camacha	26	9	9	8	34:26	36
8	Chaves B	26	9	9	8	40:29	36
9	Machico	26	10	6	10	28:30	36
10	Sao Martinho	26	10	4	12	22:31	34
11	SC Mirandela	26	10	2	14	21:29	32
12	Vilaverdense FC	26	4	9	13	15:31	21
13	CD Ribeira Brava	26	4	8	14	20:46	20
14	Desportivo Moncao	26	4	5	17	26:53	17