Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between AD Llerenense and CD Azuaga finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Llerenense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- AD Llerenense haven't matched CD Azuaga's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 16%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Llerenense | CD Azuaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CD Azuaga
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs AD Llerenense
3:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CD Azuaga
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs AD Llerenense
1:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs AD Llerenense
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Llerenense 31 / 100
CD Azuaga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Llerenense CD Azuaga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Llerenense scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: AD Llerenense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
CD Azuaga let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
AD Llerenense VS CD Azuaga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Llerenense
(Home) 19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
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19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1 Jaraiz
12 Apr
AD Llerenense
0 : 2 Villanovense
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CD Azuaga
(Away) 13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0 CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1 Moralo
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 CD Azuaga
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06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0 CD Azuaga
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 CD Azuaga
26 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Azuaga
12 Apr
SP Villafranca
0 : 2 CD Azuaga
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
