Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between AD Llerenense and Guadiana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Llerenense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AD Llerenense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 71% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Llerenense | Guadiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 4 |
| Wins | 11 | 0 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Llerenense Compare
Guadiana Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Guadiana conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.
Recent resilience: AD Llerenense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: AD Llerenense scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Guadiana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AD Llerenense
(Home)Guadiana
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Moralo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 6 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Gevora | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 8 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 9 | Villanovense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Cabeza del Buey | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Jaraiz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 14 | SP Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Montijo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 18 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |