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AD Llerenense vs Miajadas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
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Match Events

5' Event
22' Event
25' Event

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between AD Llerenense and Miajadas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Llerenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
AD Llerenense
20%
Draws
6%
Miajadas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Llerenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Miajadas haven't matched AD Llerenense's recent run of results.
  • AD Llerenense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AD Llerenense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 68%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Llerenense Miajadas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Miajadas
3:1
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs AD Llerenense
1:2
Feb 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs AD Llerenense
2:5
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Miajadas
2:1
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs AD Llerenense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Llerenense 95 / 100
Miajadas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Llerenense Miajadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miajadas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

AD Llerenense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: AD Llerenense scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Llerenense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Llerenense

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

Miajadas

(Away)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)