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AD Marco 09 vs AD Fafe Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Municipal de Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Pinto G.
46'
Sub
Martins D. In: Sousa V.
Out: Martins D.
58'
Sub
Batista J. In: Ribeiro Oliveira J.
Out: Batista J.

AI Match Summary

AD Marco 09 in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Marco 09.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AD Marco 09
20%
Draws
35%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AD Marco 09 haven't matched AD Fafe's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 21%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Marco 09 AD Fafe
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs AD Fafe
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs AD Marco 09
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs AD Fafe
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs AD Marco 09
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Marco 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AD Fafe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Marco 09 32 / 100
AD Fafe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Marco 09 AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Marco 09 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AD Marco 09 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

AD Fafe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

AD Marco 09 VS AD Fafe
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Marco 09

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
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AD Fafe

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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