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AD Merida vs CD Coria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Romano Jose Fouto, Mérida
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Merida host CD Coria in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. CD Coria have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while AD Merida have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor AD Merida slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2022, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.50) point toward CD Coria. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AD Merida
20%
Draws
29%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Merida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Coria lately — more wins on the board than AD Merida.
  • Win probability leans AD Merida's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 16%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Merida CD Coria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Coria vs AD Merida
1:1
Oct 10, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
AD Merida vs CD Coria
0:1
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
AD Merida vs CD Coria
0:0
Oct 7, 2020 Club Friendly
CD Coria vs AD Merida
0:2
Apr 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Merida vs CD Coria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Merida 84 / 100
CD Coria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Merida CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Merida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Merida's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Coria has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

AD Merida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AD Merida VS CD Coria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Merida

(Home)
18 Oct
Arenas Getxo
0 : 4
AD Merida
11 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 2
AD Merida
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
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CD Coria

(Away)
18 Oct
CD Coria
2 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
10 Oct
CD Coria
2 : 4
CD Extremadura
04 Oct
Zamora
2 : 0
CD Coria
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
6 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
7 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
9 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
10 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
11 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
12 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Real Union 8 2 4 2 15:13 10
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)