Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015

AD Merida

4 - 1

Deportivo Pacense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 game between AD Merida and Deportivo Pacense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Merida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

AD Merida

Draws

Deportivo Pacense

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AD Merida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and AD Merida come out ahead of Deportivo Pacense on wins alone.
Model gives AD Merida a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

AD Merida Clean Sheet 20%

Deportivo Pacense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Merida	Deportivo Pacense
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	13	6
Draws	9	7
Losses	10	18
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

AD Merida vs Deportivo Pacense

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

4:1

Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Deportivo Pacense vs AD Merida

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Merida 85 / 100

Deportivo Pacense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Merida Deportivo Pacense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Merida scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Pacense conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Pacense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Merida VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Merida	38	31	5	2	101:20	98
2	Extremadura UD	38	26	9	3	86:24	87
3	Jerez CF	38	25	6	7	70:18	81
4	CD Badajoz	38	23	8	7	71:31	77
5	CD Coria	38	20	6	12	55:40	66
6	Moralo	38	19	8	11	65:44	65
7	Don Benito	38	18	10	10	48:37	64
8	CD Azuaga	38	15	10	13	44:44	55
9	Pueblonuevo	38	13	13	12	50:42	52
10	Santa Amalia	38	15	6	17	44:50	51
11	Diter Zafra	38	12	14	12	51:48	50
12	Fuente de Cantos	38	12	6	20	39:61	42
13	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	13	3	22	48:75	42
14	Olivenza FC	38	11	7	20	46:69	40
15	CP Valdivia	38	10	7	21	43:73	37
16	Sanvicenteno	38	9	7	22	34:61	34
17	Deportivo Pacense	38	9	6	23	46:93	33
18	Castuera	38	8	9	21	39:68	33
19	UP Plasencia	38	6	9	23	49:83	27
20	Hernan Cortes	38	6	9	23	35:83	27