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AD Pemba vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between AD Pemba and Costa do Sol finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa do Sol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AD Pemba
15%
Draws
42%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Costa do Sol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 16%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Pemba Costa do Sol
Matches Played 16 27
Wins 5 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.56 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Mocambola
AD Pemba vs Costa do Sol
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Pemba 31 / 100
Costa do Sol 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Pemba Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: AD Pemba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AD Pemba found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (16 games).

Costa do Sol let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Pemba VS Costa do Sol
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Pemba

(Home)
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
15 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 2
Costa do Sol
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Costa do Sol

(Away)
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 17 11 5 1 25:9 38
2 Ferroviario Beira 17 9 7 1 23:10 34
3 Costa do Sol 17 9 4 4 23:11 31
4 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 16 8 3 5 16:13 27
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 17 5 5 7 11:11 20
8 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
9 Ferroviario Nacala 16 5 4 7 8:12 19
10 Sofala 17 4 6 7 8:16 18
11 ENH Vilankulo 16 3 8 5 18:16 17
12 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 17 1 6 10 4:16 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)