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AD Pemba vs UD Songo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
AD Pemba Logo

AD Pemba

0 - 1
FT
UD Songo Logo

UD Songo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between AD Pemba and UD Songo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Songo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AD Pemba
15%
Draws
46%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Songo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • AD Pemba haven't matched UD Songo's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 68%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Pemba UD Songo
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.53 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.05 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Mocambola
AD Pemba vs UD Songo
0:1
Jul 1, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs AD Pemba
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Pemba 41 / 100
UD Songo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Pemba UD Songo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Pemba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: AD Pemba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: UD Songo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AD Pemba scored in 42% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Pemba VS UD Songo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Pemba

(Home)
14 Oct
AD Pemba
0 : 1
UD Songo
09 Oct
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
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UD Songo

(Away)
14 Oct
AD Pemba
0 : 1
UD Songo
10 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
UD Songo
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 21 9 7 5 23:17 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 19 10 4 5 23:21 34
5 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 19 8 5 6 16:15 29
7 UD Songo 20 6 10 4 21:16 28
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 Baia de Pemba 19 5 7 7 11:14 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 19 4 9 6 21:19 21
11 AD Pemba 18 6 2 10 10:19 20
12 Sofala 21 4 6 11 10:24 18
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 20 1 8 11 8:24 11
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