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AD Rosario vs AD Sarchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Rosario host AD Sarchi in the Liga de Ascenso. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: AD Rosario at 1.04 goals for, 1.42 against; AD Sarchi at 1.32 for, 1.46 against. Head-to-head, AD Rosario have won 2 to AD Sarchi's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.19) back AD Sarchi to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AD Rosario
20%
Draws
34%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Sarchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AD Rosario are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 20%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Rosario AD Sarchi
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs AD Rosario
2:1
Mar 7, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs AD Sarchi
3:2
Jan 22, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs AD Rosario
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs AD Rosario
1:1
Aug 8, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs AD Sarchi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Rosario 67 / 100
AD Sarchi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Rosario AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Rosario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

AD Rosario scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AD Rosario stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Rosario VS AD Sarchi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Rosario

(Home)
12 Oct
Grecia
2 : 2
AD Rosario
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

AD Sarchi

(Away)
11 Oct
Quepos FC
2 : 1
AD Sarchi
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 10 7 3 0 18:5 24
2 Quepos FC 10 6 1 3 15:8 19
3 Grecia 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 AD Rosario 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
5 AD Sarchi 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
6 Santa Cruz 10 2 0 8 11:22 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 11 5 5 1 20:15 20
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)