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AD Rosario vs Cofutpa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Edwards A.
26' Event
Barrantes S.
65' Event
Solano E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between AD Rosario and Cofutpa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Rosario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AD Rosario
20%
Draws
23%
Cofutpa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Rosario have managed 1 goals a game lately — Cofutpa are scoring more at 1.03.
  • AD Rosario are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 20%
Cofutpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Rosario Cofutpa
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Cofutpa
2:1
Apr 12, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Cofutpa
0:0
Feb 23, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs AD Rosario
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs AD Rosario
3:0
Sep 15, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Cofutpa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Rosario Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrantes S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solano E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cofutpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Rosario 49 / 100
Cofutpa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Rosario Cofutpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Rosario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cofutpa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

AD Rosario scored in 60% of their last 25 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AD Rosario remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Rosario VS Cofutpa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Rosario

(Home)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 5

Cofutpa

(Away)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)